Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Bills — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Bills
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
Resolved Bills. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Bills. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Bills 69%
1 arb excluded
$45.5K
$411.16
Smart Money Signal
13 of 18 top traders (72%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SI Siddhartha1 | Billsavg 43¢ | $11.6K | $26.9K | +$10.8K | 51% 59-57 (116) |
SI sinasinnerCTR | Ravensavg 51¢ | $12.8K | — | $-12.8K | 48% 28-30 (58) |
 RN1 | Billsavg 71.3¢ | $4.2K | $4.3K | +$15.18 | 54% 57287-49527 (106814) |
 Nooserac | Billsavg 71¢ | $3.4K | $4.8K | +$1.4K | 52% 5833-5422 (11255) |
AN Anon455ARB<$100 | Billsavg 65.8¢ | $2.5K | $2.4K | -$45.7 | 55% 3029-2464 (5493) |
| └ Bills leg | Billsavg 65.8¢ | $1.6K | $2.4K | +$824.3 | |
| └ Ravens leg | Ravensavg 29¢ | $870 | — | -$870 | |
DO DolphinBaller | Billsavg 43¢ | $1.3K | $3.0K | +$1.7K | 47% 100-113 (213) |
HE Herdonia | Billsavg 43¢ | $933.31 | $2.2K | +$13.02 | 54% 3405-2950 (6355) |
EN ENDBOSSLLC | Billsavg 67¢ | $650.15 | $970.37 | +$320.22 | 42% 278-388 (666) |
 tradecraft | Billsavg 54¢ | $269.99 | $499.99 | +$230 | 51% 6090-5810 (11900) |
JU justaluckydudeCTR | Ravensavg 31.7¢ | $526.21 | — | -$526.21 | 53% 11037-9631 (20668) |
0X 0x84e01e855165C5d56DE153c96DCC3B9bCe727F3D-1782704499041CTR | Ravensavg 57¢ | $685 | — | -$685 | 57% 228-173 (401) |
HO HomeRunHazard | Billsavg 43¢ | $103.2 | $240 | +$1.44 | 54% 17338-14559 (31897) |
TA takeormake | Billsavg 53¢ | $96.46 | $182 | +$85.54 | 53% 4278-3736 (8014) |
PR primmCTR | Ravensavg 45¢ | $327.13 | — | -$327.13 | 46% 1131-1309 (2440) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Billsavg 62.2¢ | $13.88 | $22.32 | +$8.44 | 56% 14308-11101 (25409) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Ravensavg 57¢ | $27.32 | — | -$27.32 | 50% 19495-19870 (39365) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Billsavg 61¢ | $4.88 | $8 | +$3.12 | 59% 47089-33330 (80419) |
TO topdogbigboi | Billsavg 57.8¢ | $228.95 | $0 | +$167.08 | 48% 9059-9756 (18815) |
DR Dreamwire<$100 | Billsavg 99.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 83% 2685-538 (3223) |
Invested
$11,553.29
Value
$26.9K
PnL
+$10.8K
Record
51%
59-57 (116)
Invested
$12,750
Value
—
PnL
$-12.8K
Record
48%
28-30 (58)
RN1Invested
$4,249.65
Value
$4.3K
PnL
+$15.18
Record
54%
57287-49527 (106814)
NooseracInvested
$3,424.33
Value
$4.8K
PnL
+$1.4K
Record
52%
5833-5422 (11255)
Invested
$2,454.7
Value
$2.4K
PnL
-$45.7
Record
55%
3029-2464 (5493)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,290
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$1.7K
Record
47%
100-113 (213)
Invested
$933.31
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$13.02
Record
54%
3405-2950 (6355)
Invested
$650.15
Value
$970.37
PnL
+$320.22
Record
42%
278-388 (666)
tradecraftInvested
$269.99
Value
$499.99
PnL
+$230
Record
51%
6090-5810 (11900)
Invested
$526.21
Value
—
PnL
-$526.21
Record
53%
11037-9631 (20668)
Invested
$685
Value
—
PnL
-$685
Record
57%
228-173 (401)
Invested
$103.2
Value
$240
PnL
+$1.44
Record
54%
17338-14559 (31897)
Invested
$96.46
Value
$182
PnL
+$85.54
Record
53%
4278-3736 (8014)
Invested
$327.13
Value
—
PnL
-$327.13
Record
46%
1131-1309 (2440)
Invested
$13.88
Value
$22.32
PnL
+$8.44
Record
56%
14308-11101 (25409)
Invested
$27.32
Value
—
PnL
-$27.32
Record
50%
19495-19870 (39365)
Invested
$4.88
Value
$8
PnL
+$3.12
Record
59%
47089-33330 (80419)
Invested
$228.95
Value
$0
PnL
+$167.08
Record
48%
9059-9756 (18815)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
83%
2685-538 (3223)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Siddhartha1
Bills — $26.9K
sinasinner
CTRRavens — $0
RN1
Bills — $4.3K
Nooserac
Bills — $4.8K
Anon455
ARBArbitrage — excluded
DolphinBaller
Bills — $3.0K
Herdonia
Bills — $2.2K
ENDBOSSLLC
Bills — $970.37
tradecraft
Bills — $499.99
justaluckydude
CTRRavens — $0