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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Siddhartha1sainttroplayCORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)55% (64–53, n=117)71% (10–4, n=14)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$363K$4.4M$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #197was PM monthly #11PM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus91% (10 of 11 open)no open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)73% (73 of 100 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +49 pts n=25, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +44 pts n=32, ROI +47%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 62 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢0%0%9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 100% of 20)50% (won 100% of 5)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 100% of 37)50% (won 100% of 5)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 5)0%2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSiddhartha1sainttroplayCORGIIBreakTheBank
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $31K——Yes $39K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $22K——No $407K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K——Yes $258K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $83K——No $40K
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $195——Yes $11K