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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SitsToPeeBreakTheBankRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)59% (219–150, n=369)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$17K$11.0M$14.8M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #489PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus57% (39 of 69 open)87% (143 of 164 open)57% (25 of 44 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicElections −3 pts, n=187———
Settled positions, side won53% of 400 at avg 54¢, ROI −2%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 4% of 159)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 29% of 28)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 75% of 20)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up48% (won 94% of 193)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSitsToPeeBreakTheBankRN1sainttroplay
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $795No $25K——