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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SitsToPee | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (219–150, n=369) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) |
| Consensus PnL | -$17K | $11.0M | $4.4M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #489 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (39 of 69 open) | 87% (143 of 164 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (25 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −3 pts, n=187 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 400 at avg 54¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 4% of 159) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 29% of 28) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 75% of 20) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 48% (won 94% of 193) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SitsToPee | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $795 | No $25K | — | — |