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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SnakeBallCORGIIBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (16551–17317, n=33868)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$552K$4.5M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #148PM monthly #68PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus52% (45 of 87 open)25% (1 of 4 open)73% (72 of 99 open)64% (21 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 3778 at avg 65¢, ROI +46%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 100% of 366)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 100% of 790)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 100% of 759)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 100% of 1863)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSnakeBallCORGIIBreakTheBankRN1
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $29—Magic $13KMagic $161
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $41—Magic $51KMagic $228
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $703——No $3.3K
Celtics vs. Magic
same side · consensus Celtics
Magic $167—Magic $24K—
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Celtics $40——Celtics $3