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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SnapElectionAvoider | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (905–844, n=1749) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $207K | $5.8M | $4.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #391 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (71 of 112 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (6 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −26 pts, n=16 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 1671 at avg 48¢, ROI +2% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 42% (won 14% of 706) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 45% of 162) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 69% of 177) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 37% (won 94% of 626) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SnapElectionAvoider | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | Yes $4.2K | — | — |