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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SpecksalamCORGIIBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)56% (44–34, n=78)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$15K$4.5M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #68PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)25% (1 of 4 open)73% (72 of 98 open)52% (32 of 62 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won87% of 46 at avg 60¢, ROI +18%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 29% of 7)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢28% (won 92% of 13)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 100% of 7)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 100% of 19)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSpecksalamCORGIIBreakTheBankRN1
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $51KMagic $228
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $13KMagic $161