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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SquirrelTheMerchant | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (80–54, n=134) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13849–15328, n=29177) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $59K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #851 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (28 of 33 open) | 89% (143 of 160 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Finance −10 pts, n=15 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 120 at avg 57¢, ROI +12% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 21% (won 4% of 25) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 45% of 22) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 79% of 24) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 98% of 49) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SquirrelTheMerchant | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.3K | No $117K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.3K | Yes $34K | — | — |