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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
StarMasterCORGII00gringo00primm
Record (consensus markets)52% (1046–977, n=2023)62% (393–245, n=638)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$110K$4.5M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #19PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus74% (80 of 108 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position50% (5 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicElections −2 pts, n=241———
Settled positions, side won49% of 2565 at avg 48¢, ROI +2%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 11% of 720)9% (won 92% of 36)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 41% of 494)56% (won 99% of 223)0%41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 61% of 804)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up21% (won 89% of 547)2% (won 100% of 7)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.