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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Stickman22RN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)52% (1545–1424, n=2969)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)61% (495–321, n=816)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$99K$14.8M-$352K$11.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #422PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #51PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus50% (3 of 6 open)55% (26 of 47 open)72% (13 of 18 open)87% (143 of 164 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −4 pts, n=248—Soccer ±0 pts, n=115—
Settled positions, side won51% of 2983 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 19% of 310)10% (won 57% of 2537)15% (won 29% of 125)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 43% of 1113)22% (won 94% of 5518)34% (won 58% of 283)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 59% of 1265)36% (won 99% of 8928)43% (won 69% of 354)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 81% of 295)32% (won 100% of 7821)7% (won 80% of 60)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketStickman22RN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816BreakTheBank
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.3K—Yes $7.4K—
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $129Over $2.6K—