← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
| StudyPrediction | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4359–3146, n=7505) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $51K | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (23 of 31 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | MLB −4 pts, n=82 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 55% of 6575 at avg 51¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 13% of 1875) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 47% of 1468) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 65% of 1105) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 93% of 2127) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | StudyPrediction | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $189 | No $184K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $28 | No $40K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $11 | Yes $77K |