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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SunflowaRebuildYear | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 78% (335–93, n=428) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $34K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #485 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 29% (2 of 7 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 281 at avg 48¢, ROI +54% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 100% of 9) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 58% (won 100% of 164) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 100% of 102) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 2% (won 100% of 6) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SunflowaRebuildYear | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $5.2K | Commanders $27K | Commanders $1.1M | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Eagles $455 | — | Commanders $44K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Commanders $760 | Eagles $6.3K | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 36.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $934 | Under $311 | — | — |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $1.4K | Commanders $2.1K | — | — |