Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Eagles β but Commanders won instead.

Spread: Commanders (-7.5)
Resolved Commanders. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Eagles. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
19
Eagles 60%
$47.3K
$-2.2K
Smart Money Signal
9 of 19 top traders (47%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SI Siddhartha1 | Commandersavg 40Β’ | $16.0K | $40.0K | +$24.0K | 50% 62-61 (123) |
HE Herdonia | Commandersavg 41.5Β’ | $2.0K | $4.9K | +$732.03 | 54% 3443-2988 (6431) |
TA TAIWANNUMBERONECTR | Eaglesavg 63.5Β’ | $10.2K | β | $-10.2K | 55% 1276-1054 (2330) |
SU SunflowaRebuildYear | Commandersavg 36Β’ | $2.1K | $2.1K | +$1.3K | 46% 380-446 (826) |
KC Kch-TempCTR | Eaglesavg 58Β’ | $712.77 | β | -$712.77 | 51% 225-219 (444) |
EN ENDBOSSLLC | Commandersavg 65Β’ | $244.4 | $376 | +$131.6 | 42% 285-391 (676) |
PU purplegattoCTR | Eaglesavg 60Β’ | $13.5K | β | $-13.5K | 50% 5980-6073 (12053) |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | Eaglesavg 60Β’ | $3.9K | β | $-3.9K | 54% 17416-14612 (32028) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Eaglesavg 41.1Β’ | $49.55 | β | -$49.55 | 48% 9549-10314 (19863) |
MA manoamanoCTR<$100 | Eaglesavg 59Β’ | $12.99 | β | -$12.99 | 51% 516-489 (1005) |
BR BreakTheBank<$100 | Commandersavg 40Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 43% 572-748 (1320) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Commandersavg 26.8Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 58% 47746-33933 (81679) |
![]() RN1<$100 | Commandersavg 38.4Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 54% 57714-49978 (107692) |
TA takeormake<$100 | Commandersavg 40Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 53% 4359-3821 (8180) |
![]() NooseracCTR<$100 | Eaglesavg 68Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 52% 5865-5456 (11321) |
JU justaluckydude<$100 | Commandersavg 57.3Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 53% 11155-9762 (20917) |
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000<$100 | Commandersavg 28Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 42% 2270-3102 (5372) |
GG GGLPLCTR<$100 | Eaglesavg 60Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 705-709 (1414) |
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100 | Eaglesavg 60Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 54% 3119-2686 (5805) |
Invested
$16,000
Value
$40.0K
PnL
+$24.0K
Record
50%
62-61 (123)
Invested
$2,027.38
Value
$4.9K
PnL
+$732.03
Record
54%
3443-2988 (6431)
Invested
$10,196.98
Value
β
PnL
$-10.2K
Record
55%
1276-1054 (2330)
Invested
$2,083.33
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$1.3K
Record
46%
380-446 (826)
Invested
$712.77
Value
β
PnL
-$712.77
Record
51%
225-219 (444)
Invested
$244.4
Value
$376
PnL
+$131.6
Record
42%
285-391 (676)
Invested
$13,487.38
Value
β
PnL
$-13.5K
Record
50%
5980-6073 (12053)
Invested
$3,928.36
Value
β
PnL
$-3.9K
Record
54%
17416-14612 (32028)
Invested
$49.55
Value
β
PnL
-$49.55
Record
48%
9549-10314 (19863)
Invested
$12.99
Value
β
PnL
-$12.99
Record
51%
516-489 (1005)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
43%
572-748 (1320)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
47746-33933 (81679)
RN1<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
57714-49978 (107692)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
4359-3821 (8180)
NooseracCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
5865-5456 (11321)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
11155-9762 (20917)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
2270-3102 (5372)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
705-709 (1414)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
3119-2686 (5805)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Siddhartha1
Commanders β $40.0K
Herdonia
Commanders β $4.9K
TAIWANNUMBERONE
CTREagles β $0
SunflowaRebuildYear
Commanders β $2.1K
Kch-Temp
CTREagles β $0
ENDBOSSLLC
Commanders β $376
purplegatto
CTREagles β $0
HomeRunHazard
CTREagles β $0
topdogbigboi
CTREagles β $0
manoamano
CTREagles β $0