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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Eagles β€” but Commanders won instead.

Spread: Commanders (-7.5)

Resolved Commanders. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Eagles. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

19

Eagles 60%

Total Value

$47.3K

Combined PnL

$-2.2K

Smart Money Signal

Eagles

9 of 19 top traders (47%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Commanders100%
Eagles0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Commanders10 traders
Total Value$47.3K
Total Shares47,343
Combined PnL+$26.2K
Eagles9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares50,205
Combined PnL$-28.4K
Commanders β€” 53%Eagles β€” 47%
SI
Siddhartha1
Commanders

Invested

$16,000

Value

$40.0K

PnL

+$24.0K

Record

50%

62-61 (123)

HE
Herdonia
Commanders

Invested

$2,027.38

Value

$4.9K

PnL

+$732.03

Record

54%

3443-2988 (6431)

TA
TAIWANNUMBERONECTR
Eagles

Invested

$10,196.98

Value

β€”

PnL

$-10.2K

Record

55%

1276-1054 (2330)

SU
SunflowaRebuildYear
Commanders

Invested

$2,083.33

Value

$2.1K

PnL

+$1.3K

Record

46%

380-446 (826)

KC
Kch-TempCTR
Eagles

Invested

$712.77

Value

β€”

PnL

-$712.77

Record

51%

225-219 (444)

EN
ENDBOSSLLC
Commanders

Invested

$244.4

Value

$376

PnL

+$131.6

Record

42%

285-391 (676)

PU
purplegattoCTR
Eagles

Invested

$13,487.38

Value

β€”

PnL

$-13.5K

Record

50%

5980-6073 (12053)

HO
HomeRunHazardCTR
Eagles

Invested

$3,928.36

Value

β€”

PnL

$-3.9K

Record

54%

17416-14612 (32028)

TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100
Eagles

Invested

$49.55

Value

β€”

PnL

-$49.55

Record

48%

9549-10314 (19863)

MA
manoamanoCTR<$100
Eagles

Invested

$12.99

Value

β€”

PnL

-$12.99

Record

51%

516-489 (1005)

BR
BreakTheBank<$100
Commanders

Invested

β€”

Value

β€”

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

572-748 (1320)

UP
UpTheBlues<$100
Commanders

Invested

β€”

Value

β€”

PnL

+$0

Record

58%

47746-33933 (81679)

RN1<$100
Commanders

Invested

β€”

Value

β€”

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

57714-49978 (107692)

TA
takeormake<$100
Commanders

Invested

β€”

Value

β€”

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

4359-3821 (8180)

NooseracCTR<$100
Eagles

Invested

β€”

Value

β€”

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

5865-5456 (11321)

JU
justaluckydude<$100
Commanders

Invested

β€”

Value

β€”

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

11155-9762 (20917)

0X
0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000<$100
Commanders

Invested

β€”

Value

β€”

PnL

+$0

Record

42%

2270-3102 (5372)

GG
GGLPLCTR<$100
Eagles

Invested

β€”

Value

β€”

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

705-709 (1414)

0X
0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100
Eagles

Invested

β€”

Value

β€”

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

3119-2686 (5805)