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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TAIWANNUMBERONECORGII00gringo00primm
Record (consensus markets)56% (1232–959, n=2191)62% (393–245, n=638)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$569K$4.5M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #454PM monthly #68was PM monthly #19PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus52% (13 of 25 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position52% (11 of 21 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 1191 at avg 60¢, ROI +39%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 98% of 55)9% (won 92% of 36)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 99% of 275)56% (won 99% of 223)0%41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 551)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 100% of 310)2% (won 100% of 7)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketTAIWANNUMBERONECORGII00gringo00primm
Spread: Rams (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $3.2K——Rams $849
Spread: Rams (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $2.9K——Rams $768
Chargers vs. Rams
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Rams $361——Chargers $1.1K
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $22K——Broncos $6.8K