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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TBill1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (110–138, n=248) | 45% (535–643, n=1178) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $82K | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #978 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (27 of 44 open) | 71% (83 of 117 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −3 pts, n=52 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 193 at avg 52¢, ROI −6% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 36% (won 12% of 69) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 63% of 16) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 81% of 31) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 97% of 77) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TBill1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $19K | Yes $77K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $145 | No $598 | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $55 | Yes $49K | — |