Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TBill1RN1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)44% (110–138, n=248)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$82K$13.4M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #978PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus62% (28 of 45 open)53% (58 of 109 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicSoccer −3 pts, n=52—NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won61% of 193 at avg 52¢, ROI −6%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢36% (won 12% of 69)10% (won 56% of 2534)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 63% of 16)22% (won 94% of 5497)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 81% of 31)36% (won 99% of 8897)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 97% of 77)31% (won 100% of 7736)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.