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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TheImpasse | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 21% (140–525, n=665) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$151K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #427 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 36% (8 of 22 open) | 63% (20 of 32 open) | 74% (73 of 99 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Crypto −11 pts, n=43 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 33% of 90 at avg 34¢, ROI −15% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 67% (won 12% of 60) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 67% of 9) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 67% of 6) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 87% of 15) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TheImpasse | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $45 | — | Yes $169K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $22 | — | Yes $4.1K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $387 | — | Yes $77K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K | — |