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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TheImpasse | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 21% (140–528, n=668) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 62% (393–246, n=639) |
| Consensus PnL | -$151K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #427 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 37% (7 of 19 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −11 pts, n=43 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 33% of 90 at avg 34¢, ROI −15% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 67% (won 12% of 60) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 67% of 9) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 67% of 6) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 87% of 15) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TheImpasse | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $46 | — | Yes $170K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $426 | — | Yes $85K | — |