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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TheKinginYellow | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (464–222, n=686) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 54% (225–189, n=414) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $9.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (37 of 47 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Politics −7 pts, n=129 | — | — | NFL −11 pts, n=58 |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 1220 at avg 68¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 11% of 138) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 20% (won 12% of 109) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 36% of 118) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 21% (won 46% of 114) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 26% (won 63% of 321) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 60% of 176) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 53% (won 90% of 643) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 26% (won 82% of 137) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TheKinginYellow | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $448 | No $202K | — | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $47 | Yes $280K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $520 | Yes $274K | — | — |