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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| UpTheBlues | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (17940–18403, n=36343) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $10.6M | $4.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (152 of 222 open) | 70% (57 of 82 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 37860 at avg 66¢, ROI +37% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 99% of 2645) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 7907) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 100% of 8513) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 18795) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | UpTheBlues | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | Jets $17K | Raiders $16K | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $186 | Falcons $8.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $28 | Bills $2.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $22 | Cardinals $32K | — | — |