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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
VeryLucky88800gringo00CORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)58% (26675–19314, n=45989)75% (6–2, n=8)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$417K$3.5M$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus62% (76 of 123 open)no open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)74% (73 of 98 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNBA −3 pts, n=1814———
Settled positions, side won53% of 17564 at avg 54¢, ROI 0%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 22% of 1995)0%9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 43% of 5894)0%56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 58% of 5883)100% (won 86% of 7)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 78% of 3792)0%2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketVeryLucky88800gringo00CORGIIBreakTheBank
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $4.3K——Chiefs $152K
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus Heroic
Heroic $461—B8 $22K—
Eagles vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $11K——Commanders $253K
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Commanders $3.5K——Commanders $70K
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $3.4K——Commanders $45K