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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| VeryLucky888 | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (26675–19314, n=45989) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $417K | $5.8M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (76 of 123 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (72 of 97 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −3 pts, n=1814 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 17564 at avg 54¢, ROI 0% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 22% of 1995) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 43% of 5894) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 58% of 5883) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 22% (won 78% of 3792) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | VeryLucky888 | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $4.3K | — | — | Chiefs $152K |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $11K | — | — | Commanders $230K |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $6.9K | — | — | Commanders $43K |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $3.4K | — | — | Commanders $45K |