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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| VeryLucky888 | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (26675–19314, n=45989) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $417K | $4.4M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (93 of 153 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 70% (7 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −3 pts, n=1812 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 17416 at avg 54¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 22% of 1978) | 0% | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 43% of 5856) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 58% of 5819) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 22% (won 78% of 3763) | 0% | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | VeryLucky888 | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Rams (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Rams | Chargers $3.3K | — | — | Rams $1.0K |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $229 | — | — | Over $3.2K |
| Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $3 | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Chargers vs. Rams same side · consensus Chargers | Chargers $4.0K | — | — | Chargers $1.1K |