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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| VigorishVault | CORGII | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 73% (22–8, n=30) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $41K | $4.5M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #416 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 26 at avg 53¢, ROI +32% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 0% of 2) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 63% of 8) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 88% of 16) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | VigorishVault | CORGII | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $10K | — | Commanders $1.5K | — |