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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Vilgefortz | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (191–58, n=249) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $367K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #782 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 94% (15 of 16 open) | no open consensus position | 86% (54 of 63 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Politics −2 pts, n=63 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 316 at avg 78¢, ROI +4% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 14% of 44) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 44% of 16) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 63% of 19) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 75% (won 94% of 237) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Vilgefortz | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.5K | — | No $112K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $44K | Eagles $1.3K |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $188K | Commanders $1.8K |