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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Vilgefortz | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (191–58, n=249) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 61% (393–247, n=640) |
| Consensus PnL | $366K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #782 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 94% (15 of 16 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 85% (51 of 60 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Politics −2 pts, n=63 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 316 at avg 78¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 14% of 44) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 44% of 16) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 63% of 19) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 75% (won 94% of 237) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Vilgefortz | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.4K | — | No $117K | — |