← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| VivianWard | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 87% (3261–508, n=3769) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) |
| Consensus PnL | $99K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #151 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 58% (7 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Weather −2 pts, n=179 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 3173 at avg 86¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 12% of 120) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 34% of 155) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 61% of 309) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 82% (won 97% of 2589) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | VivianWard | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $1.1M | — | Commanders $27K |