← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| WarewaPain | BreakTheBank | CORGII | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 42% (459–646, n=1105) | 45% (535–643, n=1178) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 48% (12851–13947, n=26798) |
| Consensus PnL | -$122K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #654 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 71% (82 of 116 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Tennis −5 pts, n=32 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 655 at avg 57¢, ROI +13% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 21% of 117) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 58% of 120) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 72% of 195) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 34% (won 90% of 223) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | WarewaPain | BreakTheBank | CORGII | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.3K | No $184K | — | — |