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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
WeBuyHighWeSelllowRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)54% (4410–3739, n=8149)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL-$241K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #891PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus71% (15 of 21 open)54% (64 of 118 open)72% (73 of 101 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won98% of 3962 at avg 61¢, ROI +30%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 93% of 136)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢28% (won 95% of 1112)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 98% of 1430)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 100% of 1284)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketWeBuyHighWeSelllowRN1BreakTheBank
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $86No $26K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K
Spread: Cowboys (-17.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $1.5KCardinals $1.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $222No $2.6K—
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $102Under $1.8K—
Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $2Cowboys $605—
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $137Under $141—
SSC Napoli leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $151No $4—
Spread: Bengals (-13.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $47Titans $14—