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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
abc51001RN1
Record (consensus markets)83% (57–12, n=69)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$19K$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #926PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (4 of 8 open)57% (88 of 155 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +48 pts n=33, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=17, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won94% of 50 at avg 56¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 95% of 19)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 95% of 22)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 100% of 8)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketabc51001RN1
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Raiders $4.8KJets $6.1K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Browns $2.1KSteelers $6.0K
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Browns $1.6KSteelers $1.9K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $102Bills $22K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Bills $127Bills $18K