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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
acorpsainttroplayBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)50% (599–588, n=1187)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (537–650, n=1187)50% (985–968, n=1953)
Consensus PnL$81K$4.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #655was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position79% (57 of 72 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +12 pts n=384, ROI +11%
  • NBA +9 pts n=192, ROI +5%
  • MMA +14 pts n=66, ROI +8%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNHL −8 pts, n=103———
Settled positions, side won64% of 1015 at avg 56¢, ROI +6%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 28% of 132)0%10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 51% of 290)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢28% (won 65% of 281)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 90% of 312)0%20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketacorpsainttroplayBreakTheBankprimm
Eagles vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $1.0MEagles $3.0K
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $32KEagles $1.3K