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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| alex20011 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (2858–2672, n=5530) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 50% (969–959, n=1928) |
| Consensus PnL | $196K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #41 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (26 of 36 open) | 74% (75 of 101 open) | no open consensus position | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=209 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 72% of 1358 at avg 71¢, ROI +10% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 10% of 230) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 50% of 123) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 146) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 63% (won 93% of 859) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | alex20011 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $15K | Yes $39K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.7K | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $6.4K | No $35K | — | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $5.5K | No $23K | — | — |