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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| alvahunter | primm | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 36% (28–50, n=78) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8K | $3.6M | $14.9M | $3.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #889 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #31 + pinned | PM monthly #60 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 65% (22 of 34 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 32 at avg 42¢, ROI +54% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 34% (won 82% of 11) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 90% of 10) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 90% of 10) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 3% (won 100% of 1) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | alvahunter | primm | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers vs. Bears same side · consensus Bears | — | Bears $47K | Bears $28K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) same side · consensus Bears | — | Bears $3.6K | Bears $3.0K | — |