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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ameisgoat1100gringo00RN1primm
Record (consensus markets)53% (5483–4855, n=10338)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)50% (986–968, n=1954)
Consensus PnL$78K$3.5M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #943was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus67% (10 of 15 open)no open consensus position50% (6 of 12 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won56% of 251 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 6% of 47)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 33% of 58)0%22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 68% of 66)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 93% of 80)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketameisgoat1100gringo00RN1primm
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
——Commanders $2.1KEagles $858
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $664Under $1.5K
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
——Commanders $1.5KEagles $3
Spread: Commanders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
——Commanders $23Eagles $412