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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ameisgoat11CORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)53% (5430–4794, n=10224)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$78K$4.5M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #943PM monthly #68PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus54% (28 of 52 open)0% (0 of 4 open)72% (74 of 103 open)62% (18 of 29 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won56% of 249 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 6% of 47)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 33% of 58)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 67% of 64)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 93% of 80)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketameisgoat11CORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $51KRavens $696
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $2.1KRavens $376