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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ameisgoat11 | RN1 | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (5573–4934, n=10507) | 47% (13868–15346, n=29214) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $78K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #943 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (29 of 48 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 252 at avg 55¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 6% of 47) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 33% of 58) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 30% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 26% (won 68% of 65) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 33% (won 93% of 82) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ameisgoat11 | RN1 | sainttroplay | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche | Luca Van Assche $8 | Mariano Navone $631 | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar same side · consensus Rafael Jodar | Rafael Jodar $11 | Rafael Jodar $1.1K | — | — |