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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| anoin123 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (292–293, n=585) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13849–15328, n=29177) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.3M | $3.5M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #18 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (64 of 100 open) | no open consensus position | 89% (143 of 160 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 92% of 482 at avg 79¢, ROI −11% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 61% of 41) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 83% of 23) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 76% of 51) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 98% of 367) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | anoin123 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $26K | — | No $117K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $24K | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $21K | — | No $32K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $3.4K | — | No $292K | — |