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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| anoin123 | sainttroplay | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (292–293, n=585) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.3M | $4.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #18 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (55 of 89 open) | no open consensus position | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 79% (57 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 92% of 481 at avg 79¢, ROI −11% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 61% of 41) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 83% of 23) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 76% of 50) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 98% of 367) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | anoin123 | sainttroplay | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $27K | — | — | No $112K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $25K | — | — | Yes $81K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $20K | — | — | No $34K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $3.7K | — | — | No $622K |