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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
averagejoetraderssainttroplayRN1
Record (consensus markets)60% (397–263, n=660)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$63K$4.4M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #339was PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (5 of 8 open)no open consensus position63% (97 of 153 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 278 at avg 65¢, ROI +39%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 18)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 100% of 44)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 100% of 84)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up47% (won 100% of 132)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketaveragejoetraderssainttroplayRN1
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $5.0K—Falcons $1.8K
Spread: Vikings (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Vikings $1—Lions $2.1K
Titans vs. Bengals
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $35—Titans $658
Browns vs. Steelers
same side · consensus Steelers
Steelers $4.5K—Steelers $5.5K
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
Jets $3.6K—Jets $192