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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| aweso | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (1–1, n=2) | 61% (17–11, n=28) | 54% (170–143, n=313) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $156 | $786K | $186K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #883 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #29 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 74% (31 of 42 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 149 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 2% (won 100% of 3) | 2% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 43% (won 100% of 64) | 65% (won 78% of 36) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 42% (won 100% of 62) | 29% (won 94% of 16) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 13% (won 100% of 20) | 4% (won 50% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | aweso | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $2.5K | Thunder $7.8K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $12K | Trail Blazers $5.1K | — |