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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
balthazarRN1CORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)54% (9273–8029, n=17302)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$1.2M$13.4M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus63% (185 of 292 open)71% (15 of 21 open)25% (1 of 4 open)55% (12 of 22 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +25 pts n=2313, ROI +14%
  • NFL +28 pts n=167, ROI +12%
  • Weather +21 pts n=3762, ROI +20%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won75% of 14708 at avg 60¢, ROI +14%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 20% of 4153)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 82% of 941)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 96% of 2101)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up51% (won 99% of 7513)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbalthazarRN1CORGIIprimm
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $2.7K—Buccaneers $3.0K