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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bands1 | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (468–461, n=929) | 43% (11779–15353, n=27132) | 63% (1100–635, n=1735) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) |
| Consensus PnL | -$270K | -$9.5M | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #175 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (3 of 7 open) | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 71% (67 of 94 open) | 58% (42 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=163 | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 873 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 20% of 61) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 47% of 339) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 52% of 384) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 80% of 89) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bands1 | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris | — | Liam Broady $2.0K | — | Billy Harris $6.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Over $1.8K |
| Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $45 | — | Yes $20 | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | Cavaliers $1.5K | — | Cavaliers $708 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $360 |