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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Biggggggggndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market20% (1345–5412, n=6757)63% (993–578, n=1571)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)
Consensus PnL—$566K$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #9PM monthly #95PM monthly #52
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position79% (221 of 278 open)71% (52 of 73 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Economy −5 pts, n=113NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won—66% of 3892 at avg 65¢, ROI +1%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—30% (won 7% of 1167)13% (won 15% of 186)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—5% (won 43% of 183)19% (won 39% of 267)41% (won 99% of 418)
Entries 50–70¢—5% (won 67% of 184)23% (won 58% of 326)49% (won 99% of 504)
Entries 70¢ and up—61% (won 98% of 2358)44% (won 94% of 619)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Biggggggggndb1primm
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2No $173—
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $9Yes $62K—