← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | Multicoloured-Serf | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 47% (237–268, n=505) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $9.4M | -$191K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #20 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 52% (12 of 23 open) | 61% (19 of 31 open) | 55% (75 of 136 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 47% (won 100% of 100) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 47% (won 100% of 101) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 6% (won 100% of 13) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | Multicoloured-Serf | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $30K | Pelicans $30K | Pelicans $125 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $19K | Pelicans $18K | Pelicans $135 |
| Flames vs. Kraken opposite sides · consensus Flames | — | — | Flames $98K | Kraken $1.9K |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Jazz $75K | Pelicans $18K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $323 | — | Pelicans $143 |
| Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | — | Eastern Michigan $7 | Central Michigan $50 |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | — | Kings $22 | Lakers $3 |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $14K | Spurs $186 |
| Spread: Rockets (-7.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | — | Timberwolves $8.0K | Timberwolves $130 |
| Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $6.1K | Over $126 |
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | — | Clippers $4.8K | Clippers $258 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) same side · consensus Raptors | — | — | Raptors $4.0K | Raptors $130 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-6.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | — | — | Pelicans $2.2K | Pelicans $280 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | — | — | Raptors $315 | Raptors $275 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $4 | Over $130 |