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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | zerone777 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) | 29% (470–1177, n=1647) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $7.9M | $14.8M | $36K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #32 + pinned | PM monthly #107 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 78% (28 of 36 open) | 60% (50 of 84 open) | 77% (10 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Elections ±0 pts, n=212 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 43% of 609 at avg 44¢, ROI +15% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 50% (won 2% of 307) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 5% (won 29% of 31) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 7% (won 64% of 45) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 37% (won 96% of 226) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | zerone777 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | — | Ravens $292K | Jaguars $9.2K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $194K | Jaguars $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $837 | Jaguars $2.9K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $1.1K | Jaguars $180 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $92K | Ravens $3.3K | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Warriors $3.5K | Warriors $520 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $293 | Ravens $636 | — |