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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | Vale54holi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 37% (173–293, n=466) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | $107K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #117 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 69% (40 of 58 open) | 64% (16 of 25 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | Mentions −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 35% of 264 at avg 36¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 61% (won 1% of 161) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 3% (won 14% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 4% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 32% (won 96% of 85) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | Vale54holi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $376K | No $165 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $55K | No $18K |