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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | pollo07 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) | 37% (396–663, n=1059) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $9.4M | $4.6M | $40K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #99 | PM monthly #79 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 47% (9 of 19 open) | 78% (39 of 50 open) | 85% (403 of 472 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Elections −3 pts, n=70 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 45% of 406 at avg 46¢, ROI +7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 51% (won 1% of 207) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 3% (won 45% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 2% (won 44% of 9) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 44% (won 96% of 179) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | pollo07 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $15K | — | No $1.3K |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3.6K | — | No $1.2K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | — | No $182K | — | No $258 |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | — | No $12K | — | No $1.5K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.0K | — | No $1.3K |