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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | northdrawer | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 59% (10827–7630, n=18457) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $11.0M | $47K | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #158 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 68% (77 of 114 open) | 76% (74 of 98 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | Weather −2 pts, n=942 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 40% of 5327 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 56% (won 0% of 2980) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 2% (won 44% of 129) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 4% (won 62% of 209) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 38% (won 96% of 2009) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | northdrawer | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $287K | No $128 | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3.6K | No $46 | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $42K | No $343 | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $157 | No $42 | — |