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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | VictorLudorum | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 53% (4798–4251, n=9049) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $9.4M | $3.6M | $103K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #173 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 74% (34 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Elections −1 pts, n=1210 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 67% of 5058 at avg 67¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 28% (won 2% of 1396) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 4% (won 34% of 186) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 5% (won 59% of 230) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 64% (won 97% of 3246) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | VictorLudorum |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | — | No $258K | — | No $70 |