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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4CUTJALENHURTSprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (5359–4920, n=10279)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL—$625K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #66PM monthly #48PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position59% (92 of 156 open)68% (17 of 25 open)60% (143 of 239 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Golf −2 pts, n=108——
Settled positions, side won—54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 19% of 1341)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 46% of 3607)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 61% of 3523)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 86% of 1699)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4CUTJALENHURTSprimmRN1
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Central Michigan $16KEastern Michigan $2.4KCentral Michigan $12K
Toledo vs. Sacramento State
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $4.6K—Sacramento State $6.3K
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $8.7KCentral Michigan $851
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $240Under $7.6K—
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.8K—No $5.8K
Spread: Toledo (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Sacramento State $1.1KToledo $4.3K—
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $4.1K—Bulls $64
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $2.4KUMass $1.1K
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $1.8K—Hawks $957
Spread: Ball State (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
——UMass $1.6KBall State $191
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.2KOver $534
Spread: UMass (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $793UMass $804
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $589Sacramento State $794
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 37.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.0KUnder $228
Spread: UMass (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $480UMass $457
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $497—Under $126
Spread: Toledo (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $437Sacramento State $75
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 37.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $191Over $54
Spread: UMass (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——UMass $18Ball State $190
Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $30Central Michigan $47
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.2K—No $2.8K
Spread: Ball State (-5.5)
same side · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $3.0KBall State $636
Spread: Ball State (-4.5)
same side · consensus UMass
——UMass $40UMass $2.4K
Spread: Toledo (-9.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $4Toledo $471